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barclays highlights absence of tariff premium in dollar currency pairs

Barclays analysts note a lack of tariff premium in dollar pairs, particularly in dollar CAD and euro dollar, due to previous false starts on tariffs and shifting deadlines for Mexico and Canada. While there is a belief in mutually assured destruction preventing severe tariffs, the potential for sectoral tariffs remains a concern, indicating that the market may need to adjust its expectations. The absence of any premium suggests uncertainty about the enactment of trade policies, complicating short positions on the dollar.
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